Type VIIb
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Posted - 2011.04.15 03:13:00 -
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Edited by: Type VIIb on 15/04/2011 03:14:38
The 'tear down' that CCP would need to do will need to be methodical and paced. A massive 'hammer' approach would be far more destabling than what the current impact of botting is now. Right now the approach is the 'scared straight' approach. Somewhere in the madness of kill-the-bots mentality with all the torches and pick forks there needs to be a real-world consideration of what has been allowed to go on for far too long.
Bottom line is going to be the bottom line. CCP has said there is too much isk in the system and that that needs to be addressed. You are at the brink of a potential 'housing bubble' type issue. The PLEX is trading at near record levels right now. Why? Because there is so much money moving in the system. IF CCP can curtail the botting issue, there is a serious concern that a PLEX will lose its value. Rat bots are putting isk in to the market at unhuman rates. Unlike mining which only depresses the value of ore and metal, the rat bot is actually adding isk in to the pool.
At what point is the 'extra real world cash player' going to look at a GTC/PLEX and go, "You know what? That isn't worth my money."? 200 million isk? 250, 300, 350? Many players go 'oh yeah a 200 million isk PLEX, alright!'... but if you are the guy spending real money, is it worth the real world cash? If not, that means CCP will lose money as well. Now that will of course reduce supply and drive prices back up, but a lower supply means less money to CCP.
A serious, focused, and constant anti-bot campaign spread out over time will slowly put the system back in line. Anything forced quickly will cause turmoil in the markets. In fact it is already happening in some cases, unless you don't consider a 25% jump in mining prices in a week to be notable. In the long run, such a plan may result in alteration of mining yields and/or rat bounty prices.
CPP doesn't want the accounts gone, that result in loss of income. They also will want to find a reasonable price point on the cost of PLEX. A depressed PLEX will discourage sales of GTCs and also hurt the CCP bottom line.
Bottom line, patients. You are not going to see a huge slash at 'insert alliance name here' with the current process. It would have all the political headache of the BPO controversy of old. It will be more like speeding tickets. "Hey, you pulled me over but not that guy!", "Well, if he does it again tomorrow maybe I'll get him then."
Now, this thread is all about getting blood, and that I can understand, but I doubt you will see any sort of 'instant gratification' on this issue. It might take over a year to have a notable overall impact.
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